The end is near

[jellyrug]

Tomorrow is election day, any predictions?

In my opinion, it is too hard to predict at this stage, we will know the outcome soon.

Things counting against Trump, is behavior and no filter.

Things counting against Kamala, is track record of current Administration plus she is a woman. I know "woman" should not be a factor, but many Americans are not ready.

As far as the polls are concerned, in statistics we believe a forecast with 80% accuracy needs a 0.05 sampling rate.

Last election, approximately 160 million people voted, so at the needed sampling rate of 0.05, it means an accurate prediction of 80% if there were 8 million people covered by the poll. We are not even close, so I totally disregard the polls.

Gut feel = Trump, but I may be wrong this time.

 

[Red05]

“Trump supporters are stupid if it makes your own more stupid self feel better.”
I borrowed that from another thread. Blanca. We hardly use the terms Republican or conservative any more. It’s Trumper or anti Trumper. Tomorrow starts the process of moving past that. It’s either a quick process or a 4 year one.
Prediction? Nah.

 

[MonkeyButtRides]

Polls can be wrong and all the polls I've seen in favor of Kamala or Trump are almost all within the margin of error so it's pretty much a dead heat based on all the information we have now, or at least the honest information we have.

Probably the only thing we can really count on is if Trump loses, he will pitch the biggest fit, cry foul and pander to every conspiracy theory out there he can. I suspect his fit will be worse than 2020.

All that said, I think Kamala will win. Maybe then we can get rid of Trump's Tax plan and his Tariffs which have been a disaster except for Elon and his rich ass buddies.

 

[Red05]

All that said, I think Kamala will win. Maybe then we can get rid of Trump's Tax plan and his Tariffs which have been a disaster except for Elon and his rich ass buddies.

…and then the fight started lol

 

[jellyrug]

Probably the only thing we can really count on is if Trump loses, he will pitch the biggest fit, cry foul and pander to every conspiracy theory out there he can. I suspect his fit will be worse than 2020.

I actually think that may go down pretty bad. Mass protests with riots and violence thrown in and Trump fueling the fire in a way which makes him not liable.